CHAMPION jockey Kerrin McEvoy, his confidence sky-high after having a stellar week on the racetrack, can continue his form surge at Royal Randwick on Saturday.
It began when McEvoy partnered Foxplay to a brilliant win in the Group 1 Queen of the Turf Stakes at Randwick last Saturday, his sixth major for the season to be second only to Hugh Bowman (11 wins) on the jockeys Group 1 rankings.
HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
RACE WATCH: DAVO’S TIPS FOR RANDWICK
Then at Gosford on Tuesday, McEvoy rode four successive winners at the provincial meeting then backed that up with a double at the Warwick Farm midweeks. His form surge continued at Hawkesbury on Thursday when he rode a treble to make it 10 winners for the week.
McEvoy, who won a second Melbourne Cup last spring on Almandin, has ridden the winners of more than $13 million prizemoney this season, a career-best for the jockey.
He has a busy afternoon at Randwick with eight rides including McCreery in the Group 1 All Aged Stakes and Memento in the Group 1 Champagne Stakes.
Redzel, McEvoy’s ride in the Group 3 Hall Mark Stakes, is his best ride according to the price assessors as TAB Fixed Odds have the sprinter rated $3.50 favourite.
Bowman, fresh from his Group 1 double on Winx (Queen Elizabeth Stakes) and Bonneval (ATC Australian Oaks), has another good book of eight rides including the favourites in the Group 1 races, Invader ($1.95, Sires) and Le Romain ($3.80, All Aged).
The best winning barriers at Royal Randwick for the last three years.
(In order of most wins)
1200m: 6, 4, 2, 3
1400m: 2, 1, 6, 4
1600m: 8, 6, 4, 1
2000m: 5, 4, 1, 6
TAB BIG BETS
Race 2: Cannyescent $6-$3.80 after bets of $400 at $6, $2,500 at $4.80, $1,500 at $4.40, Yuma Desert $6 unchanged with a bet of $1,000 e/w at $6/$2.21.
Race 3: Acatour $2.60 unchanged despite bets of $300 at $2.60, $290 at $2.60, $200 at $2.60 (multiple times), Screamarr $11-$9.50 with bets of $500 at $11, $200 at $11 twice.
Race 4: Hellbent $4.60-$3.20 with bets of $250 at $4.60, $400 at $4.20, $300 at $4.20, $2,000 at $3.80, $2,000 at $3.50, Takedown $6-$7, Redzel $3.50-$3.80- $3.50 after a $5,000 bet at $3.80, Counterattack $11-$9.50 with bets of $200 at $11, $200 at $9.50.
Race 5: Astronomos $3.50-$2.80 with bets of $260 at $3.30, $400 at $3.20, $300 at $3, $300 at $2.80, Happy Hannah $8-$9.50- $7.
Race 6: Invader $1.90-$1.95-$1.90 with bets of $3,450 at $1.95, $2,000 at $1.95, $1,550 at $1.95, $350 at $1.95, $4,000 at $1.90, $1,000 at $1.90, Whispered Secret $4.60-$5
Race 7: Le Romain $4-$3.80-$3.60- $3.80 with a wager of $3,470 at $3.80, Redkirk Warrior $11-$9.50 with bets of $500 at $11, $500 at $10, $300 at $10, Voodoo Lad $6-$7, English $4-$4.20- $3.50 after bets of $1,000 at $4.20, $1,400 at $4, $1,000 at $4, $500 at $4, $700 at $3.80, $1,000 at $3.60, Divine Prophet $11-$13 despite a $1,000 wager at $11.
Race 8: Invincibella $15-$9.50 with a bet of $2,000 e/w at $11/$3.50.
Race 9: Sort After $15-$14 with bets of $200 at $15, $250 e/w at $14/$4.25.
Race 2: 4, 7, 8, 10
Race 3: 1, 2
Race 4, 1, 3, 7, 8
Race 5: 4, 6
Suggested bet $20
Bet percentage: 31.25%
Race 6: 1, 5, 8
Race 7: 1, 2, 9, 10
Race 8: 1, 2, 3, 5
Race 9: 1, 3, 9
Suggested bet: $20
Bet percentage: 13.88%
Raiment (race eight) is favourite but still at attractive odds of $4.60 for the Carr Stakes. The Godolphin mare was half those odds last start when she was a disappointing seventh to Diddums in the PJ Bell Stakes. But the Randwick track favoured those on the inside that day and Raiment was never closer than three wide without cover and tired late. Her previous run resulted in a dynamic win in the Birthday Card Stakes at Rosehill. Drawn awkwardly again but she is talented mare at backable odds here.
Takedown (race four) won the Winterbottom in WA before a highly meritorious 1.9-lengths sixth in the Hong Kong Sprint. This tough, talented gelding is ready to open the new campaign with a win in the Hall Mark Stakes, which has brought together a deep and competitive field. Trial watchers were raving about Takedown’s recent win in a 1030m heat at Rosehill where he zoomed over the top to win in super impressive order.
Moher (race nine) is a Lonhro gelding from the Godolphin stable resuming off three trials and all of them have been outstanding. The horse handles wet or dry and, while he usually needs a run to bring him along, the fact that he has trialled three times is significant. Expect a bold first-up bid from this honest gelding.
Raiment (race eight) was incredibly dominant winning the Birthday Card first-up, less so the next time when midfield in the P J Bell last Saturday at Randwick on a biased track. The mare has taken no harm from that outing and she’s looked bright and sharp in her work at Warwick Farm during the week. She worked on the course proper on Tuesday over 1200m in 1:24.64s, last 400m in 24.16s, final 200m in 11.65s under no pressure.
Le Romain (race seven) had excuses for his Doncaster failure. Prior to that his form had been near faultless including a victory over Chautauqua in the Canterbury Stakes and second to Winx in the George Ryder Stakes. Le Romain was sent over 800m on the Beaumont course proper on Tuesday in 51.5s, last 600m in 37.3s with stablemate Knit ‘N’ Purl, who will run in race two.
THE BEST BET
Acatour (race three) could not have been more impressive when he put a margin of nearly four lengths on his chasing rivals in the Carbine Club Stakes. He ran the 1600m right out in testing conditions two weeks ago and I have no issue with him at 2000m on Saturday. Acatour, jockey Blake Shinn and Team Snowden are a form combination — stick with them.
God’s In Him (race nine) resumes here and has struck a race with plenty of depth. His two trials don’t read well on paper and he failed to beat a rival to the line in his most recent trial last Monday but he was never let go and was bolting on the line. He has a very good first-up record, excels at Randwick and is effective in heavy going. At $7, he represents each-way value.
RACE 6: CHAMPAGNE STAKES (1600m)
Peter Snowden (trainer) Invader: “Invader is such a relaxed young horse, he doesn’t pull at all, and he has a really good turn of foot. He should get the right run from the draw (barrier one) and give himself every chance. I can’t fault him, he looks every bit as good now as he did before the Sires.”
David Payne (trainer) Ace High: “He is a not a sit-and-sprint type. He is a big-actioned horse so we will let him slide along early, give him the room to move he needs. The 1600m is not an issue and neither is the quick back-up. He is there to run well.’’
Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Everything points to Invader on the back of his win in the Sires but not expecting a cakewalk. One More Honey will stretch him here and represents great value at $13 compared to the $1.90 for Invader. These two are the standout chances for sure. Taking a line through Eshtiraak and Whispered Secret, the value runner could be Aberro, who has found the line OK in his two Melbourne runs and won a trial in Canberra recently.’’
Grant Palmer (bookie): “Invader is the deserved favourite on the back of his Sires win where he was very strong through the line. Barrier one could prove tricky if they do head for the outside fence with the rail out. If they do, have a small save on Whispered Secret who looks the only other chance in a thin race.’’
Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “What’s not to like about Invader? He missed the Slipper on a bog track, won the Sires stylishly and is only getter better. He will enjoy the extra 200m. Eshtiraak the threat after winning at Mornington last start.’’
TAB Market Update CHAMPAGNE STAKES1:19
The latest odds in the Champagne Stakes.
RACE 7: ALL AGED STAKES (1400m)
Kris Lees (trainer) Le Romain: “I can see him settling outside (leader) Jungle Edge or being very close to the lead. He will be in a forward position and should get the right run. I think the race sets up nicely for him.’’
John Hawkes (trainer) Divine Prophet: “We couldn’t find a reason for his two Melbourne starts but he is a colt and colts can do that sometimes. He has freshened up really well.’’
Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Jungle Edge controls speed here and it’s up to the rest of them who takes it to him. Maybe Japonisme and possibly Le Romain coming over. I like Voodoo Lad at 1400m from soft draw with an ultra consistent recent record. He kept poking up along inside in the T J Smith and can travel closer from rails draw. The three-year-old Divine Prophet is the danger here. He was freshened up from Australian Guineas run with blinkers on and looked sharp in Flemington jumpout recently.’’
Grant Palmer (bookie): “Happy to forgive Le Romain’s Doncaster run where he didn’t appreciate getting crowded for a run on the corner. His previous runs this prep would be good enough to win this. Wide barrier should be no issue with how we expect the track will play.’’
Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “The Newmarket runner-up Voodoo Lad is the forgotten horse. He was also good in the TJ Smith, is super attractive odds and the extra distance suits perfectly. I’m prepared to take on Le Romain after Doncaster disappointment.’’
Verdict: VOODOO LAD
RACE 8: JHB CARR STAKES (1400m)
John O’Shea (trainer) Raiment: “Raiment’s in great order. I’ve forgiven her run the other day. She was wide all the way when you needed to be on the rail. The 1400 poses no problems for her and she should roll forward and take up a good position.”
James Cummings (trainer) Smart Amelia: “Smart Amelia gets the opportunity to run out 1400m strongly. She is nicely placed in these fillies races. It would be lovely to see her breakthrough and add to her black type placing.’’
Glenn Munsie (TAB): “The value here is Invincibella with slight reservations on the Heavy 9. First-up was wide throughout in the P J Bell when inside was the place to be. Track will be chopping out by this stage, so hopefully finds right lane. Finished in front of Raiment there and is more than double her current quote ($4.60 and $9.50). I’m looking wide for dangers with Siren’s Fury, on the back-up and My Country, who battled on very well in the P J Bell after working throughout.’’
Grant Palmer (bookie): “Prompt Response will strip fitter after first-up run where she finished off nicely and the step-up in trip will benefit. Zenalicious looks the main danger at big odds, racing in terrific order she just found the mile a touch too far last start, back in trip here will see her around the money.’’
Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “Invincibella was only sixth last start in the PJ Bell, but the run had back me next time written all of it. Petrified that Raiment will turn around her last start failure and is capable of winning.’’
Originally published as Inside mail: Big bets and market movers
SOURCE: newsnow sport